← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.79+1.19vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.37+0.60vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.01+0.09vs Predicted
-
4University of Victoria-0.92+0.15vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.01-1.78vs Predicted
-
6University of Victoria-2.87-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19University of Washington0.790.4%1st Place
-
2.6Western Washington University0.370.3%1st Place
-
3.09Western Washington University-0.010.2%1st Place
-
4.15University of Victoria-0.920.1%1st Place
-
3.22Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
-
5.75University of Victoria-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Hauter | 35.6% | 30.8% | 17.9% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Chandler Sharp | 27.0% | 24.2% | 21.5% | 17.8% | 8.4% | 1.1% |
| Harrison Saliba | 16.2% | 18.3% | 23.0% | 26.9% | 14.3% | 1.3% |
| Josie van Hoek-Patterson | 6.2% | 7.1% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 46.6% | 7.7% |
| Nikoline Alden | 14.4% | 18.5% | 22.2% | 23.1% | 19.0% | 2.8% |
| Kalina Blonska | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 7.4% | 86.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.