Race 1B

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Madeline Kennedy 12.5% 12.8% 13.9% 10.8% 9.9% 10.4% 10.3% 7.4% 5.9% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Craig Schifferns 10.4% 9.5% 11.1% 10.6% 11.7% 10.0% 8.7% 9.6% 8.3% 5.4% 2.6% 2.0% 0.1%
Zachary Hester 11.5% 12.1% 11.6% 9.5% 10.0% 11.5% 9.5% 9.6% 6.3% 5.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2%
Peter McGrath 4.6% 6.2% 6.8% 7.6% 8.1% 7.4% 9.4% 10.9% 8.9% 12.1% 10.1% 5.8% 2.1%
Erik Lund 3.9% 3.1% 3.4% 4.9% 5.6% 6.0% 6.5% 8.4% 9.3% 13.7% 14.6% 12.7% 7.9%
Mallory Schluter 8.2% 8.7% 8.4% 10.1% 9.2% 10.5% 9.3% 8.5% 9.8% 7.5% 6.3% 3.1% 0.4%
Michael Hanson 13.3% 10.8% 13.2% 9.3% 11.4% 10.8% 8.3% 8.4% 6.3% 4.6% 2.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Cameron Hutcheson 7.8% 10.9% 8.4% 9.4% 9.5% 10.7% 11.2% 8.9% 9.9% 6.3% 4.9% 1.6% 0.5%
Rex Cameron 19.5% 17.1% 13.3% 15.2% 11.1% 6.8% 6.1% 4.4% 4.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
Brooke Sharp 3.4% 2.6% 4.0% 4.1% 4.6% 4.6% 7.8% 7.3% 10.1% 12.1% 14.3% 14.3% 10.8%
Sean Patno 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 2.6% 3.7% 4.9% 3.8% 6.3% 7.7% 12.9% 21.5% 31.2%
Ashley Vincent 2.4% 3.8% 3.2% 4.3% 5.0% 5.3% 5.0% 9.1% 9.9% 11.5% 14.7% 16.2% 9.6%
Jean Rutledge 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 2.3% 1.3% 2.3% 3.0% 3.7% 5.0% 9.1% 12.9% 19.3% 37.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.