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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+6.40vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.45+3.50vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.72+1.89vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.85+5.11vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.98+2.64vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.29+0.02vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.22+1.04vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.06-1.34vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.06+1.60vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.46+1.38vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.80-1.34vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.09-1.26vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.70-0.87vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-1.18vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.59-4.35vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.97-6.11vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.51-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4Roger Williams University2.097.0%1st Place
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5.5Harvard University2.4512.7%1st Place
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4.89Stanford University2.7217.0%1st Place
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9.11Brown University1.854.4%1st Place
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7.64Fordham University1.987.3%1st Place
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6.02Yale University2.2910.8%1st Place
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8.04Brown University2.226.6%1st Place
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6.66Bowdoin College2.068.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Vermont1.063.2%1st Place
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11.38Salve Regina University0.462.5%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island1.804.0%1st Place
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10.74Connecticut College1.093.2%1st Place
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12.13George Washington University0.702.1%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.0%1st Place
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10.65Northeastern University1.592.9%1st Place
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9.89Boston University0.973.4%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University1.514.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Robby Meek | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 17.0% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Duncan Craine | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 17.4% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 25.1% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Clark Morris | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.