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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+0.83vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.37+1.12vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.01+0.65vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.01-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.42-0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.56-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83University of Washington1.530.5%1st Place
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3.12Western Washington University0.370.2%1st Place
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3.65Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.67Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Victoria-0.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 51.8% | 25.4% | 14.6% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Chandler Sharp | 15.9% | 23.9% | 21.0% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 7.3% |
| Nikoline Alden | 10.6% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 21.2% | 21.0% | 13.3% |
| Harrison Saliba | 10.8% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 21.0% | 20.6% | 13.6% |
| Steven Dieleman | 5.8% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 22.0% | 29.8% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 5.1% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 20.5% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.