Race 2B

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rex Cameron 19.2% 16.6% 15.8% 11.9% 11.5% 7.7% 7.6% 4.1% 3.0% 1.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Mallory Schluter 7.1% 7.5% 10.7% 8.6% 10.7% 9.1% 9.7% 11.4% 9.1% 7.2% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9%
Madeline Kennedy 12.3% 12.8% 12.5% 11.9% 10.1% 11.6% 10.0% 6.8% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Zachary Hester 11.6% 10.6% 11.0% 13.9% 10.4% 10.3% 9.0% 7.8% 5.8% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Cameron Hutcheson 9.5% 9.1% 9.5% 9.8% 9.4% 10.0% 9.7% 9.1% 10.0% 6.5% 4.8% 1.9% 0.7%
Michael Hanson 11.6% 14.1% 11.6% 12.1% 10.0% 10.0% 7.2% 8.8% 6.2% 4.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.2%
Craig Schifferns 11.3% 11.9% 9.9% 8.8% 9.8% 12.5% 10.3% 7.4% 7.3% 5.8% 3.0% 1.8% 0.2%
Brooke Sharp 2.9% 3.6% 3.4% 3.6% 5.7% 4.4% 6.1% 8.4% 11.1% 11.1% 14.3% 16.4% 9.0%
Peter McGrath 5.8% 4.6% 6.8% 6.6% 8.2% 7.7% 10.0% 11.3% 10.2% 11.0% 10.4% 5.1% 2.3%
Ashley Vincent 3.8% 3.8% 2.7% 4.1% 5.0% 5.8% 6.2% 9.4% 8.9% 13.1% 14.3% 13.6% 9.3%
Jean Rutledge 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 2.7% 2.3% 2.4% 4.7% 4.0% 6.5% 7.6% 14.3% 20.7% 31.3%
Erik Lund 2.6% 3.4% 3.1% 4.5% 5.1% 5.7% 6.8% 7.8% 9.3% 13.9% 13.4% 14.7% 9.7%
Sean Patno 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 1.8% 2.8% 2.7% 3.7% 6.6% 8.2% 11.9% 21.1% 35.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.