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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+6.53vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+5.14vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.45+2.59vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.06+2.42vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51+4.73vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.85+2.99vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.29-1.19vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.72-3.14vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.09+1.59vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.46+1.06vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59-0.39vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.06-1.59vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.05-2.11vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.06-3.33vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.22-6.90vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-3.35vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.70-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Fordham University1.987.1%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University2.098.2%1st Place
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5.59Harvard University2.4510.9%1st Place
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6.42Bowdoin College2.069.9%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University1.514.0%1st Place
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8.99Brown University1.854.5%1st Place
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5.81Yale University2.2912.7%1st Place
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4.86Stanford University2.7215.1%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College1.093.6%1st Place
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11.06Salve Regina University0.462.5%1st Place
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10.61Northeastern University1.593.8%1st Place
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10.41University of Vermont1.063.3%1st Place
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10.89University of Rhode Island1.053.4%1st Place
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10.67Boston University1.062.6%1st Place
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8.1Brown University2.225.6%1st Place
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12.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.7%1st Place
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11.96George Washington University0.701.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Robby Meek | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Clark Morris | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 15.1% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Craine | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% |
| Olin Guck | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| Max Teo | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% |
| Mason Stang | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 25.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.