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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+0.84vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.01+1.61vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.37+0.14vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.42+0.24vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.56-0.49vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.01-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84University of Washington1.530.5%1st Place
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3.61Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.14Western Washington University0.370.2%1st Place
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4.24University of Victoria-0.420.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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3.67Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 50.1% | 27.6% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Harrison Saliba | 10.9% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 20.3% | 13.9% |
| Chandler Sharp | 15.9% | 21.4% | 22.0% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 5.7% |
| Steven Dieleman | 7.7% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 20.5% | 29.4% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 4.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 21.1% | 37.0% |
| Nikoline Alden | 10.7% | 14.2% | 20.3% | 20.5% | 21.1% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.