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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.75+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia1.01+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.93+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.04+1.00vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.16+0.35vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-1.20+0.80vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.52-2.80vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.38-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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3.35University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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5.0University of British Columbia0.040.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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4.2Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Dawson | 39.1% | 27.2% | 16.7% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 17.1% | 18.8% | 21.3% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Hayden Potter | 15.9% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Zelda Ladefoged | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 10.3% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 21.5% | 13.8% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 52.5% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 3.9% |
| Charlotte Clark | 3.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 24.6% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.