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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.52+3.10vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+0.29vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia1.01+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.16+1.34vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.04+0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-1.20+0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.38-1.27vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.93-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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2.29Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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3.35University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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5.34University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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5.04University of British Columbia0.040.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.73University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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3.39University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezekiel Ward | 9.8% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 2.5% |
| Chloe Dawson | 36.8% | 27.9% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 18.3% | 18.4% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 22.8% | 12.6% |
| Zelda Ladefoged | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 9.4% |
| Hannah Stevens | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 51.2% |
| Charlotte Clark | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 22.5% | 21.5% |
| Hayden Potter | 17.6% | 18.0% | 20.9% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.