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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.01+2.27vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+0.28vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.93+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.38+1.69vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.16+0.37vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.04-1.06vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.52-2.81vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-1.20-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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2.28Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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3.49University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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5.69University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.37University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.94University of British Columbia0.040.1%1st Place
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4.19Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Blasdel | 18.7% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Chloe Dawson | 36.6% | 27.8% | 17.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Potter | 16.3% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Charlotte Clark | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 22.7% | 20.8% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 14.0% |
| Zelda Ladefoged | 7.3% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 9.7% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 3.9% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 21.5% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.