← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University1.75+1.21vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.52+2.18vs Predicted
-
3University of British Columbia1.01+0.30vs Predicted
-
4University of British Columbia0.04+0.98vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria-1.20+1.87vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.93-2.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington-0.16-1.62vs Predicted
-
8University of Victoria-0.38-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.21Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
-
4.18Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
-
3.3University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
-
4.98University of British Columbia0.040.1%1st Place
-
6.87University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
-
3.46University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
-
5.38University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
-
5.61University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Dawson | 39.9% | 27.1% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 10.4% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 2.7% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 17.5% | 19.3% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Zelda Ladefoged | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 9.2% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 54.5% |
| Hayden Potter | 15.8% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 22.7% | 13.8% |
| Charlotte Clark | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 19.6% | 22.4% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.