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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.75+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia1.01+1.33vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.52+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-1.20+2.81vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.93-1.52vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.04-1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.16-1.60vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.38-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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3.33University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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4.17Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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3.48University of Washington0.930.1%1st Place
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4.98University of British Columbia0.040.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Dawson | 40.5% | 26.1% | 16.9% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 18.0% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 10.9% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 18.7% | 52.8% |
| Hayden Potter | 14.6% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Zelda Ladefoged | 6.4% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 15.5% | 10.2% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 23.7% | 14.5% |
| Charlotte Clark | 3.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 24.1% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.