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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.93+2.42vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+0.30vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.38+2.63vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.16+1.34vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.52-0.77vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.04-1.03vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-1.20-0.18vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia1.01-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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2.3Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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5.63University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.34University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.23Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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4.97University of British Columbia0.040.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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3.29University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Potter | 16.1% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Chloe Dawson | 37.5% | 26.7% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 18.8% | 25.1% | 17.6% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 22.8% | 12.8% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 9.3% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 3.1% |
| Zelda Ladefoged | 7.0% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 10.1% |
| Hannah Stevens | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 54.2% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 18.3% | 19.4% | 20.3% | 17.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.