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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.75+1.24vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia1.01+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.93+0.48vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.52+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.04-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.16-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-1.20-0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.38-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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3.36University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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3.48University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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4.19Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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4.98University of British Columbia0.040.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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6.85University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Dawson | 39.6% | 26.6% | 16.2% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 17.4% | 19.4% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Hayden Potter | 16.0% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 10.0% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
| Zelda Ladefoged | 5.6% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 8.6% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 13.7% |
| Hannah Stevens | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 18.7% | 55.3% |
| Charlotte Clark | 3.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 23.9% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.