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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+10.41vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.09+8.40vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.06+7.45vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.06+2.42vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.22+3.20vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.70+5.88vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.09+0.18vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.85+0.78vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.29-3.05vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.72-5.26vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.45-5.46vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.51-2.28vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.98-5.57vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-1.24vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.59-4.37vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.06-5.30vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.05-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.41Salve Regina University0.462.5%1st Place
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10.4Connecticut College1.093.2%1st Place
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10.45University of Vermont1.062.9%1st Place
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6.42Bowdoin College2.069.8%1st Place
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8.2Brown University2.225.9%1st Place
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11.88George Washington University0.702.7%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University2.096.8%1st Place
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8.78Brown University1.854.7%1st Place
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5.95Yale University2.2912.0%1st Place
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4.74Stanford University2.7216.1%1st Place
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5.54Harvard University2.4511.9%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University1.512.9%1st Place
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7.43Fordham University1.987.3%1st Place
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12.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.5%1st Place
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10.63Northeastern University1.593.4%1st Place
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10.7Boston University1.063.5%1st Place
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10.82University of Rhode Island1.052.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% |
| Duncan Craine | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 16.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 16.1% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Clark Morris | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 23.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% |
| Max Teo | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% |
| Olin Guck | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.