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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+3.85vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine3.43+1.92vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+2.21vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.64+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.82+0.33vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+2.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.56+1.81vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.95-2.98vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.62-0.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.80+0.58vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University2.21-4.08vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.80-1.29vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California2.57-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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5.21University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Hawaii2.820.1%1st Place
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8.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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8.81University of California at San Diego1.560.0%1st Place
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5.02University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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8.76Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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10.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.800.0%1st Place
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6.92Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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10.71University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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6.27University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 13.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 19.0% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 9.4% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Craig Schifferns | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Erik Lund | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 8.9% |
| Brooke Sharp | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 9.3% |
| Michael Hanson | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 10.0% |
| Jean Rutledge | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 20.8% | 33.4% |
| Peter McGrath | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Sean Patno | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 22.2% | 34.4% |
| Mallory Schluter | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.