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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.01+2.30vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.75+0.30vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.04+1.95vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.93-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-1.20+1.86vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.16-0.70vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.52-2.77vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.38-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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2.3Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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4.95University of British Columbia0.040.1%1st Place
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3.46University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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6.86University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.3University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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4.23Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Blasdel | 17.9% | 20.2% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Dawson | 36.5% | 27.3% | 18.2% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Zelda Ladefoged | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 8.7% |
| Hayden Potter | 16.8% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 55.1% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 21.6% | 12.8% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 10.1% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 3.9% |
| Charlotte Clark | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 20.1% | 22.7% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.