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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.01+2.30vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.52+2.18vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.75-0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.93-0.53vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.04+0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-1.20+0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.16-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.38-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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4.18Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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2.25Western Washington University1.750.4%1st Place
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3.47University of Washington0.930.2%1st Place
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5.02University of British Columbia0.040.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Washington-0.160.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Blasdel | 18.0% | 20.2% | 20.7% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Chloe Dawson | 38.5% | 26.4% | 17.1% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Hayden Potter | 16.0% | 19.0% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Zelda Ladefoged | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 8.8% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 52.4% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 22.0% | 15.6% |
| Charlotte Clark | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 23.4% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.