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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.21vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.03+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.27+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.62+1.74vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.26-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.40-0.67vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.97-0.69vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.27-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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2.96Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.19University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.2Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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6.31University of British Columbia-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 39.2% | 28.0% | 16.3% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 21.6% | 24.6% | 20.5% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Richard Minielly | 10.5% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 23.2% | 23.4% |
| Kendall Kracke | 10.3% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 3.9% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.7% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 17.9% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 19.0% | 39.9% |
| Joanna Garcia | 4.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.