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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.21vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.03+0.96vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.26+1.22vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia-0.97+2.27vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.27+0.14vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.27-1.85vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.62-1.23vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.40-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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2.96Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.22Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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6.27University of British Columbia-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.14University of Washington-0.270.0%1st Place
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4.15University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 39.4% | 26.7% | 17.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 21.8% | 24.2% | 20.8% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Kendall Kracke | 11.2% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 5.2% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 21.1% | 37.7% |
| Joanna Garcia | 4.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 13.0% |
| Richard Minielly | 11.1% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 4.4% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 22.5% | 24.7% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.