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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.23vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.26+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.40+2.34vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.27+0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.62+0.70vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-3.05vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.97-0.70vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.27-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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4.2Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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4.22University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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2.95Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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6.3University of British Columbia-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 39.3% | 27.2% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kendall Kracke | 10.7% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 3.8% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 19.0% | 16.7% |
| Richard Minielly | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 9.0% | 4.4% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 21.6% | 22.2% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 21.4% | 24.1% | 21.2% | 16.2% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 20.2% | 40.2% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.