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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.03+1.89vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.26+2.25vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53-0.76vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.27+1.13vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.62+0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.40-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.27-2.77vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.97-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.25Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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2.24University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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5.13University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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4.23University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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6.2University of British Columbia-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Kilroy | 22.6% | 26.7% | 18.9% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Kendall Kracke | 10.0% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 4.6% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 38.7% | 26.2% | 18.2% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 15.0% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 21.9% | 23.5% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 16.7% |
| Richard Minielly | 10.3% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 5.0% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 21.7% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.