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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.40+3.38vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.26+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.27+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.62+0.73vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.03-3.06vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.27-1.84vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.97-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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5.38University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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4.15Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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4.2University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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2.94Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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5.16University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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6.25University of British Columbia-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 39.9% | 25.7% | 17.7% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 17.8% |
| Kendall Kracke | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Richard Minielly | 10.3% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 4.5% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 22.5% | 22.8% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 21.1% | 24.9% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Joanna Garcia | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 17.5% | 14.0% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 19.4% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.