Race 4B

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Cameron Hutcheson 8.5% 8.3% 9.5% 10.5% 9.9% 8.8% 10.7% 10.6% 8.8% 6.8% 5.2% 1.8% 0.6%
Zachary Hester 9.8% 12.5% 12.2% 11.0% 11.6% 10.3% 9.4% 7.0% 7.3% 4.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.3%
Rex Cameron 18.6% 18.8% 14.2% 11.8% 12.1% 8.2% 6.5% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Madeline Kennedy 13.2% 11.7% 13.5% 12.5% 10.3% 10.5% 7.6% 6.7% 7.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Michael Hanson 12.6% 11.7% 12.0% 10.8% 9.8% 11.3% 8.8% 8.2% 6.3% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Ashley Vincent 3.3% 3.1% 3.8% 4.0% 4.8% 6.1% 6.6% 7.7% 10.7% 11.7% 15.3% 14.6% 8.3%
Craig Schifferns 11.9% 10.9% 10.0% 9.6% 10.3% 10.3% 10.6% 8.4% 6.8% 6.4% 3.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Erik Lund 2.6% 4.5% 3.6% 4.7% 4.4% 5.5% 7.7% 8.7% 9.0% 12.6% 15.5% 14.6% 6.6%
Mallory Schluter 8.2% 7.2% 9.0% 9.2% 8.8% 10.9% 10.2% 8.8% 10.1% 8.0% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9%
Peter McGrath 6.6% 5.8% 5.2% 7.6% 8.7% 8.5% 9.1% 10.8% 9.4% 10.6% 8.9% 5.8% 3.0%
Brooke Sharp 2.6% 3.2% 3.5% 5.3% 5.1% 5.3% 5.7% 9.6% 9.6% 14.1% 13.0% 14.8% 8.2%
Sean Patno 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 1.7% 2.1% 2.4% 3.8% 4.7% 4.8% 8.1% 12.6% 19.5% 36.3%
Jean Rutledge 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 3.3% 3.6% 7.2% 7.4% 12.3% 21.7% 35.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.