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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.24vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.03+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.40+2.33vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.27+1.15vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.62+0.74vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.27-1.83vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.97-0.71vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.26-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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2.96Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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5.33University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.17University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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6.29University of British Columbia-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.12Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 38.4% | 27.7% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 21.4% | 24.7% | 20.2% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 15.9% |
| Joanna Garcia | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 13.3% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 21.2% | 22.5% |
| Richard Minielly | 10.6% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 39.0% |
| Kendall Kracke | 10.6% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.