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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.27+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.27+2.10vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.40+1.38vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.03-2.08vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.26-1.82vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.62-1.24vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.97-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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4.22University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.38University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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2.92Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.18Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.21University of British Columbia-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 38.9% | 27.7% | 17.3% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Richard Minielly | 10.4% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 3.7% |
| Joanna Garcia | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 13.3% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 17.3% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 22.2% | 26.1% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Kendall Kracke | 10.5% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 20.6% | 25.2% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 21.0% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.