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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.40+3.39vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.03-0.07vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.27+0.19vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.26-0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.62-0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.27-1.82vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.97-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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5.39University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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2.93Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.19University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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4.18Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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6.22University of British Columbia-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 40.1% | 26.7% | 16.1% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 20.8% | 16.6% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 22.1% | 23.8% | 21.3% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Richard Minielly | 10.4% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 4.4% |
| Kendall Kracke | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 24.3% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 14.4% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 2.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 21.6% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.