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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.03+1.87vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.40+3.38vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.27+2.10vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia-0.97+2.29vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.27-0.82vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.26-1.83vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.53-4.66vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.62-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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5.38University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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6.29University of British Columbia-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.18University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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4.17Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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2.34University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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5.66University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Kilroy | 23.5% | 24.8% | 20.4% | 14.9% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 16.2% |
| Joanna Garcia | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 12.6% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 40.3% |
| Richard Minielly | 9.3% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 3.9% |
| Kendall Kracke | 11.2% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 4.6% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 36.9% | 26.3% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 21.2% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.