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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.03+1.91vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+0.25vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.27+2.14vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.26+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.97+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.40-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.62-1.26vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.27-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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2.25University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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5.14University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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4.25Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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6.29University of British Columbia-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.34University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.08University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Kilroy | 22.5% | 24.8% | 21.5% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 37.2% | 28.3% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 13.7% |
| Kendall Kracke | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 22.1% | 36.7% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 20.0% | 15.9% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 20.5% | 24.7% |
| Richard Minielly | 11.5% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.