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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.03+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.27+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53-0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.40+1.36vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.26-0.73vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.27-0.91vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.62-1.24vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.97-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.2University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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2.25University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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5.36University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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4.27Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.2University of British Columbia-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Kilroy | 23.1% | 25.2% | 20.1% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Richard Minielly | 10.5% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 3.8% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 38.5% | 27.0% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 19.4% | 17.6% |
| Kendall Kracke | 8.5% | 12.6% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 4.3% |
| Joanna Garcia | 7.0% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 13.8% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 21.5% | 24.9% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.