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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.21vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.03+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.27+1.19vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.26+0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.27+0.11vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.40-0.67vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.97-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.62-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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2.97Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.19University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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4.22Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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6.32University of British Columbia-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 40.3% | 26.0% | 17.2% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 22.1% | 24.0% | 19.9% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Richard Minielly | 10.8% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 4.5% |
| Kendall Kracke | 9.4% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 5.0% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 18.9% | 11.6% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.8% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 18.2% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 20.6% | 40.0% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 3.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 20.9% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.