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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia-0.97+4.30vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.27+1.18vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.03-1.04vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.26-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.27-0.90vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.40-1.58vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.62-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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6.3University of British Columbia-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.18University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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2.96Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.19Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Victoria-0.400.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 40.0% | 26.3% | 17.7% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 22.3% | 38.5% |
| Richard Minielly | 10.4% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 21.8% | 24.1% | 21.1% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Kendall Kracke | 10.3% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 9.3% | 3.7% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 13.9% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 21.2% | 17.6% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 19.4% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.