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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.40+3.36vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.03-0.08vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.26+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.27+0.15vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.62-0.31vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.27-2.75vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.97-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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5.36University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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2.92Western Washington University1.030.2%1st Place
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4.19Western Washington University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Washington-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.25University of British Columbia0.270.1%1st Place
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6.23University of British Columbia-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 39.9% | 26.4% | 16.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 16.4% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 22.1% | 24.0% | 21.6% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Kendall Kracke | 10.0% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Joanna Garcia | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 12.7% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 24.0% |
| Richard Minielly | 10.5% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 5.4% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 2.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 21.3% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.