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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine3.43+2.90vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.64+3.91vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.92+1.20vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+3.49vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.82-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.56+1.74vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.21-0.95vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.57-2.79vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.95-4.89vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.62-2.46vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.80-1.23vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.80-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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5.91University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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8.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Hawaii2.820.1%1st Place
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8.74University of California at San Diego1.560.0%1st Place
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7.05Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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8.54Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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10.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.800.0%1st Place
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10.79University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rex Cameron | 19.1% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 11.8% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hester | 11.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Erik Lund | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 5.8% |
| Craig Schifferns | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Sharp | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 9.1% |
| Peter McGrath | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Mallory Schluter | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Michael Hanson | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Vincent | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 7.5% |
| Jean Rutledge | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 21.1% | 36.9% |
| Sean Patno | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 19.7% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.