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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+8.90vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+5.95vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.06+3.59vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.45+1.57vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.59+5.79vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.72-1.13vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.29-1.02vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.85+0.97vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.98-1.30vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09-2.80vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.80-1.19vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.06-1.35vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.70-1.12vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-2.71vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.09-4.51vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-3.20vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.06-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.9Tufts University1.513.4%1st Place
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7.95Brown University2.226.3%1st Place
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6.59Bowdoin College2.0610.0%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University2.4513.8%1st Place
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10.79Northeastern University1.593.2%1st Place
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4.87Stanford University2.7214.7%1st Place
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5.98Yale University2.2910.3%1st Place
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8.97Brown University1.854.9%1st Place
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7.7Fordham University1.986.7%1st Place
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7.2Roger Williams University2.096.3%1st Place
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9.81University of Rhode Island1.803.8%1st Place
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10.65Boston University1.062.9%1st Place
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11.88George Washington University0.702.5%1st Place
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11.29Salve Regina University0.462.9%1st Place
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10.49Connecticut College1.093.8%1st Place
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12.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.4%1st Place
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10.56University of Vermont1.063.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Mason Stang | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Robby Meek | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.5% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Declan Botwinick | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Max Teo | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 17.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% |
| Duncan Craine | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 23.5% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.