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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+1.94vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.14+3.71vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+4.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.80+6.36vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.60-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.18-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.53+0.62vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University0.21+4.48vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+5.95vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.75-3.05vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.66-3.61vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-0.60+3.38vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.09+0.60vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.13-1.30vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.52-3.54vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-8.72vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.61-5.78vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-3.05vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.15-2.61vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94Stanford University3.560.3%1st Place
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4.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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8.16University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.1%1st Place
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11.36University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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5.22California Poly Maritime Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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13.48Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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15.95California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Southern California1.750.1%1st Place
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8.39University of California at Berkeley1.660.0%1st Place
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16.38University of Victoria-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.6University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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13.7University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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12.46Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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8.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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12.22University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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15.95California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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17.39Arizona State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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14.69University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 30.7% | 22.3% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Barth | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Johannes McElvain | 9.8% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Koch | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 20.8% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Theut | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 38.8% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.