← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.05+2.31vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.28+2.83vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.35+1.67vs Predicted
-
4Maine Maritime Academy2.20+3.44vs Predicted
-
5University of Connecticut2.51+1.71vs Predicted
-
6Bates College0.74+4.25vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont3.39-2.45vs Predicted
-
8Brown University3.40-3.46vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.39-0.93vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.48-7.60vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University2.07-5.17vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.64-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.050.2%1st Place
-
4.83Yale University3.280.1%1st Place
-
4.67Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
7.44Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
-
6.71University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
-
10.25Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
-
4.55University of Vermont3.390.1%1st Place
-
4.54Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
-
9.07Northeastern University1.390.0%1st Place
-
4.4Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.83Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
-
10.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanya Cuprak | 22.0% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Jackson | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Matt Johnson | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
| Sean Andrew | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Calahan | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 13.2% | 24.4% | 38.5% |
| Mackenzie Spencer | 12.6% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Marshall McLean | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 23.2% | 10.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 13.9% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Keller | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 11.7% | 3.5% |
| Patrick Morrissey | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 22.6% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.