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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+3.85vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.12+9.50vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.97+2.70vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+1.87vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+0.83vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+4.47vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.15+0.75vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.85-1.12vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22+0.03vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.24+1.81vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-3.21vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32-0.99vs Predicted
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13Boston College-0.06-0.93vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.01-5.03vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-5.76vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.49-5.15vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.48-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Harvard University2.1714.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Rhode Island0.122.6%1st Place
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5.7Roger Williams University1.9711.0%1st Place
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5.87Dartmouth College1.7111.6%1st Place
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5.83Bowdoin College1.8411.0%1st Place
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10.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.7%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University1.155.9%1st Place
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6.88Brown University1.859.3%1st Place
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9.03Northeastern University1.224.9%1st Place
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11.81University of Vermont0.242.4%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.5%1st Place
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11.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.6%1st Place
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12.07Boston College-0.061.6%1st Place
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8.97Tufts University1.014.4%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.855.5%1st Place
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10.85Roger Williams University0.492.9%1st Place
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13.39Boston University-0.481.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.1% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 12.4% |
| Emma Wang | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 16.8% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.