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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+4.14vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.95+3.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine3.43+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.57+2.12vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04-0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.64-0.14vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.82-1.65vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.21-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.56-0.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.80+0.60vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-2.53vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.80-1.26vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.62-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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3.93University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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6.12University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Hawaii2.820.1%1st Place
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7.04Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.92University of California at San Diego1.560.0%1st Place
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10.6University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
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8.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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10.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.800.0%1st Place
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8.88Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hester | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Michael Hanson | 11.8% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Rex Cameron | 18.1% | 18.7% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 13.6% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Craig Schifferns | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGrath | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Brooke Sharp | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 11.2% |
| Sean Patno | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 22.3% | 33.3% |
| Erik Lund | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 6.5% |
| Jean Rutledge | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 21.7% | 34.9% |
| Ashley Vincent | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.