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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+4.51vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.25vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+3.57vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.72+3.32vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.17-1.78vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.34+2.64vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.95+3.34vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+7.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-1.92vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.57-2.20vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+1.48vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-4.88vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.12+0.28vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.19+0.07vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-0.44-0.18vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.15-2.13vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.92-7.03vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.71-2.25vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-3.64vs Predicted
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20University of Victoria-0.38-5.38vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.64-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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4.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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6.57University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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3.22Stanford University3.170.2%1st Place
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8.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.340.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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15.36California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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12.48University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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7.12California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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13.28Western Washington University0.120.0%1st Place
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14.07University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.82Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
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13.87University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.97University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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15.75University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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15.36California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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14.62University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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17.95Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wilkinson | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 16.7% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 23.1% | 22.7% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cefali | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 49.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.