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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.72+6.26vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.17+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+2.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+0.34vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+2.18vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+9.50vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.96-0.31vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.34+0.48vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.99vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.57-2.22vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.81-3.97vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.95-1.84vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-0.22vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+1.50vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-0.38-0.24vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-0.44-1.18vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.12-4.02vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.19-4.08vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.64-1.07vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-0.15-6.15vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-0.71-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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3.26Stanford University3.170.2%1st Place
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5.56University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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4.34University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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7.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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15.5California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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8.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.340.0%1st Place
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9.99University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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7.78University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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7.03California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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12.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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15.5California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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14.76University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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14.82Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
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12.98Western Washington University0.120.0%1st Place
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13.92University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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17.93Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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13.85University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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15.73University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paulsen | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 24.6% | 21.2% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 15.9% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cefali | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 49.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.