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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+6.08vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.72+5.24vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+3.52vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17-0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.28+0.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.57+1.85vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+0.08vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+7.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.98vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.950.00vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.34-2.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-7.63vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-0.44+2.10vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+1.27vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.19-0.98vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.12-3.11vs Predicted
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17University of Victoria-0.38-2.41vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-5.63vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.45-4.13vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-0.71-4.44vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.64-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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3.26Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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5.46University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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7.85University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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7.08California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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15.27California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.98University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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8.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.340.0%1st Place
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4.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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15.1Santa Clara University-0.440.0%1st Place
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15.27California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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14.02University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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12.89Western Washington University0.120.0%1st Place
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14.59University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.37University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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14.87University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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15.56University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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17.9Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerri Luttrell | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 25.7% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 10.5% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Cefali | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 16.0% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Glover | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 47.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.