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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+3.29vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.96+4.43vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+0.23vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.81+2.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.57+2.73vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+6.51vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92+3.28vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-0.97vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.34-0.58vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.95-0.09vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.72-3.67vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.28-6.44vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+2.51vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.45+0.82vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.19-1.13vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.12-3.20vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-1.49vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria-0.38-3.54vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.64-1.15vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University-0.67-4.61vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-0.71-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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6.43University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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3.23Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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6.94California Poly Maritime Academy1.810.1%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Berkeley1.570.1%1st Place
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12.51University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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7.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.1%1st Place
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8.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.340.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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15.51California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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14.82University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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13.87University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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12.8Western Washington University0.120.0%1st Place
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15.51California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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14.46University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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17.85Arizona State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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15.39Santa Clara University-0.670.0%1st Place
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15.65University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 16.9% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 25.9% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Rohr | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cefali | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Paulsen | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 10.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Haley Nadone | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 16.6% | 46.0% | 0.0% |
| Lilah Foster | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.