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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+4.19vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+4.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine3.43+0.91vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04+0.83vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.95+0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.64-0.16vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.82-1.63vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.21-0.97vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-0.26vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.56-1.13vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.62-2.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.80-1.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.80-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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4.83University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Hawaii2.820.1%1st Place
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7.03Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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8.87University of California at San Diego1.560.0%1st Place
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8.5Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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10.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.800.0%1st Place
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10.78University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hester | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Mallory Schluter | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Rex Cameron | 17.9% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 13.4% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Hanson | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Craig Schifferns | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Peter McGrath | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Erik Lund | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 7.9% |
| Brooke Sharp | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 11.6% |
| Ashley Vincent | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 7.3% |
| Jean Rutledge | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 21.4% | 35.0% |
| Sean Patno | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 21.5% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.