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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.72+3.67vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+9.00vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.80+6.33vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.06+2.04vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+1.85vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.85+2.72vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.47+5.33vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.98-0.58vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51+0.67vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.86-1.56vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.06-0.79vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.29-6.33vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-0.30vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.09-3.63vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.62-6.59vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.06-5.27vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.59-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Stanford University2.7216.3%1st Place
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11.0Salve Regina University0.463.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island1.804.8%1st Place
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6.04Bowdoin College2.0611.1%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University2.098.2%1st Place
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8.72Brown University1.855.5%1st Place
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12.33George Washington University0.472.3%1st Place
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7.42Fordham University1.987.3%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University1.514.0%1st Place
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8.44Brown University1.865.9%1st Place
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10.21University of Vermont1.063.4%1st Place
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5.67Yale University2.2911.3%1st Place
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12.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.7%1st Place
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10.37Connecticut College1.093.6%1st Place
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8.41Harvard University1.625.8%1st Place
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10.73Boston University1.062.6%1st Place
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10.47Northeastern University1.593.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 16.3% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% |
| Declan Botwinick | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Hayden Clary | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 22.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Clark Morris | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 23.5% |
| Duncan Craine | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% |
| Kate Danielson | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Max Teo | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.