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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+1.80vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.04+3.33vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.24+1.87vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+3.25vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.74+1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.25+1.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+4.96vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.27-0.33vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+8.14vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+0.16vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.56+2.87vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.36-4.38vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-7.45vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-0.65+0.18vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.43+1.37vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.01-0.78vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.52-6.80vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University-0.71-3.57vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.21-3.19vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-1.02-4.57vs Predicted
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21California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.3%1st Place
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5.33Stanford University2.040.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Southern California2.240.1%1st Place
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7.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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11.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Southern California1.270.0%1st Place
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17.14California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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10.16University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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13.87University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Berkeley1.360.1%1st Place
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5.55California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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14.18Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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16.37Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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15.22University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.2University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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14.43Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
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15.81University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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15.43University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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17.14California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Wilson | 31.5% | 24.4% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Upamanyu Dutta | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 30.1% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tor Gammelin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 30.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.