← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+1.80vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.04+3.41vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.25+4.88vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California2.24+0.90vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+2.16vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington1.74+0.36vs Predicted
-
7California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-1.62vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+1.96vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California1.27-1.32vs Predicted
-
10University of Victoria-0.56+3.83vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+0.66vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.60vs Predicted
-
13California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+4.24vs Predicted
-
14Western Washington University-0.71+0.30vs Predicted
-
15Santa Clara University-0.95-0.01vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-1.21-0.27vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis-1.01-1.95vs Predicted
-
18Arizona State University-1.43-1.55vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Irvine-1.02-3.78vs Predicted
-
20California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-2.76vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Berkeley1.36-13.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.8University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.3%1st Place
-
5.41Stanford University2.040.1%1st Place
-
7.88University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
-
4.9University of Southern California2.240.1%1st Place
-
7.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
-
6.36University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
-
5.38California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
-
9.96University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
-
7.68University of Southern California1.270.0%1st Place
-
13.83University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
-
11.66University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
-
10.4University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
17.24California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
-
14.3Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
-
14.99Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
-
15.73University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
-
15.05University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
-
16.45Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
-
15.22University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
-
17.24California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
-
7.58University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Wilson | 33.2% | 22.0% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 10.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Upamanyu Dutta | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 6.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 8.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 33.9% | 0.0% |
| Tor Gammelin | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 33.9% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.