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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+5.39vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.04+3.54vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+4.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-1.11vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.00+0.60vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+5.77vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.83vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.27-0.28vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-3.60vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+7.12vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.56+2.97vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.89-5.94vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-0.65+1.43vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-3.80vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.71-0.62vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.52-5.71vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.21-1.22vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.43-1.51vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-1.88vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.01-4.79vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.02-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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5.54Stanford University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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2.89University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.3%1st Place
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5.6University of Southern California2.000.1%1st Place
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11.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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7.83University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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7.72University of Southern California1.270.0%1st Place
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5.4California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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17.12California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Hawaii1.890.1%1st Place
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14.43Santa Clara University-0.650.0%1st Place
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10.2University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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14.38Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.29University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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15.78University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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16.49Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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17.12California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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15.21University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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15.47University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 29.9% | 22.6% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Paulsen | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Collins | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tor Gammelin | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.