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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+1.81vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.24+2.82vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.04+2.49vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.36vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.74+1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.27+1.87vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.62vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.25-0.32vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-1.93vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.56+3.80vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.52-0.72vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-0.26vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.71+1.52vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+3.09vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.43+1.30vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-0.95-0.98vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.58-7.03vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-1.02-2.75vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.21-3.24vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-2.91vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.01-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.3%1st Place
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4.82University of Southern California2.240.1%1st Place
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5.49Stanford University2.040.1%1st Place
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5.36California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Southern California1.270.0%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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7.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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13.8University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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11.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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14.52Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
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17.09California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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16.3Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
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15.02Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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9.97University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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15.25University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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15.76University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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17.09California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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15.33University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Wilson | 31.1% | 24.5% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Upamanyu Dutta | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tor Gammelin | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.