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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+3.84vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.95+3.09vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+2.23vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.82+1.46vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine3.43-1.15vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.57+0.08vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.62+1.55vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.64-2.19vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-0.30vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University2.21-2.86vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.80-0.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.56-3.01vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.80-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Hawaii2.820.1%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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6.08University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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8.55Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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5.81University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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8.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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7.14Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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10.5University of California at Santa Cruz0.800.0%1st Place
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8.99University of California at San Diego1.560.0%1st Place
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10.77University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Hanson | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Hester | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Craig Schifferns | 10.5% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Rex Cameron | 19.5% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Ashley Vincent | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 8.3% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Erik Lund | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 9.5% |
| Peter McGrath | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Jean Rutledge | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 21.4% | 30.1% |
| Brooke Sharp | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 10.7% |
| Sean Patno | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.