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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+7.34vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.29+3.72vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.06+3.32vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.06+6.14vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.59+5.28vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.09+0.97vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98+0.24vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.51+1.53vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.72-4.25vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.80-0.43vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.46+0.02vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.85-3.28vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.47-0.44vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.09-3.69vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-2.42vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.62-7.63vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.06-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Brown University1.865.3%1st Place
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5.72Yale University2.2911.2%1st Place
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6.32Bowdoin College2.069.5%1st Place
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10.14University of Vermont1.063.2%1st Place
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10.28Northeastern University1.593.2%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University2.099.3%1st Place
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7.24Fordham University1.988.3%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University1.514.1%1st Place
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4.75Stanford University2.7217.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Rhode Island1.805.0%1st Place
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11.02Salve Regina University0.463.5%1st Place
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8.72Brown University1.854.4%1st Place
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12.56George Washington University0.472.3%1st Place
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10.31Connecticut College1.093.1%1st Place
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12.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.8%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University1.625.1%1st Place
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10.58Boston University1.063.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
| Oliver Stokke | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Clark Morris | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 17.1% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Hayden Clary | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 22.7% |
| Duncan Craine | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 23.2% |
| Kate Danielson | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Max Teo | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.