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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.04+4.43vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.25+5.82vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.74+2.32vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.27+2.68vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-0.64vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.58+3.30vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.24-3.21vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-1.89vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.36-2.48vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+5.99vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-0.21vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.52-2.52vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.01+1.20vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-0.95-0.05vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.21-0.28vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University-0.71-2.80vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria-0.56-4.07vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.02-3.80vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-3.01vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.43-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Stanford University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Hawaii1.250.1%1st Place
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2.79University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.3%1st Place
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6.32University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Southern California1.270.0%1st Place
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5.36California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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10.3University of California at Santa Barbara0.580.0%1st Place
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4.79University of Southern California2.240.1%1st Place
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7.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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7.52University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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16.99California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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11.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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15.2University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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14.95Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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15.72University of California at San Diego-1.210.0%1st Place
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14.2Western Washington University-0.710.0%1st Place
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13.93University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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15.2University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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16.99California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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16.43Arizona State University-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kirkpatrick | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 32.4% | 20.8% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Mason | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Upamanyu Dutta | 10.6% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Konrad Brine | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Warren Ko | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Tor Gammelin | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Campbell | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
| Carson Engle | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.