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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+2.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+3.51vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+2.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45+0.70vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.51-0.44vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.50+0.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25+6.23vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.11+0.24vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.29+0.58vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.25-0.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.09-2.65vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.97+3.48vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.45-2.84vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-3.18vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-1.66vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.87-0.51vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.35-3.38vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.73-3.19vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.37-5.53vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.97-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.3%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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6.51University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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6.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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5.7University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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5.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
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8.18University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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8.61University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
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15.23University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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10.24University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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11.58San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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11.63San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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17.48Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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12.16University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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12.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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15.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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17.49University of California at Davis-1.870.0%1st Place
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15.62University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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16.81University of California at Davis-1.730.0%1st Place
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15.47University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
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17.48Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Gathrid | 31.3% | 24.7% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Van Dine | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lee | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 22.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Treacy Kief | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.