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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+3.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+0.76vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+3.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.11+6.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45+0.61vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.22+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.45+5.15vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.25+3.33vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.09+1.18vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.29+1.70vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-4.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.50-3.26vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.64-4.78vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.97+3.50vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.73+1.67vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-0.61vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-4.27vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.35-2.17vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.97-1.50vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.87-2.75vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-5.77vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.37-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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2.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.3%1st Place
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6.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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10.13University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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5.61University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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6.32California Poly Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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12.15University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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11.33San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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10.18University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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11.7San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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6.42University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
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8.22University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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17.5Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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16.67University of California at Davis-1.730.0%1st Place
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15.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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12.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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15.83University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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17.5Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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17.25University of California at Davis-1.870.0%1st Place
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15.23University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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15.49University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Finestone | 12.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 30.4% | 25.0% | 17.3% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kian Patrick | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Treacy Kief | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lee | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.