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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+3.50vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+0.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+3.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.64+3.61vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.22+0.67vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-0.04vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.97+9.82vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.50-0.10vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.25+1.66vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.57vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60+1.07vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.09-2.32vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.29-2.77vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-0.44vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.10-5.82vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.19-2.87vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.35-3.46vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.87-2.67vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.97-3.18vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-6.69vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.73-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.1%1st Place
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2.5University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.4%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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5.67California Poly Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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5.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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16.82Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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7.9University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
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10.66San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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12.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.68University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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11.23San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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14.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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10.18University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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14.13University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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14.54University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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16.33University of California at Davis-1.870.0%1st Place
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16.82Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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14.31University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
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15.95University of California at Davis-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Finestone | 13.3% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 35.9% | 25.0% | 16.5% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kian Patrick | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 27.7% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bastuba | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lee | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 23.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 27.7% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Treacy Kief | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.