← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.95+4.09vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.64+3.91vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California2.57+3.16vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii2.92+1.15vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Irvine3.43-1.13vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii2.82-0.61vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii3.04-2.17vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University2.21-1.01vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-0.28vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego0.80+0.60vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University1.62-2.49vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz0.80-1.27vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego1.56-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.09University of Hawaii2.950.1%1st Place
-
5.91University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
-
6.16University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
-
5.15University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
-
3.87University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
-
5.39University of Hawaii2.820.1%1st Place
-
4.83University of Hawaii3.040.1%1st Place
-
6.99Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
-
8.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
-
10.6University of California at San Diego0.800.0%1st Place
-
8.51Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
-
10.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.800.0%1st Place
-
9.04University of California at San Diego1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Hanson | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Mallory Schluter | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Hester | 11.8% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Rex Cameron | 20.2% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Craig Schifferns | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 14.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGrath | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Erik Lund | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 9.5% |
| Sean Patno | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 33.3% |
| Ashley Vincent | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 6.7% |
| Jean Rutledge | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 13.2% | 21.3% | 35.3% |
| Brooke Sharp | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.