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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.85+5.13vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.74+4.56vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.84+5.43vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.18+4.55vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.64+2.06vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.54+1.99vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.01+2.60vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.48-0.24vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.44-0.82vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+2.79vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.07-1.20vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.56-1.32vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.20-4.35vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.97-1.45vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.59-7.52vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.01-6.41vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.38-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Harvard University1.8511.2%1st Place
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6.56Brown University1.7410.2%1st Place
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8.43Roger Williams University1.846.0%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University1.185.9%1st Place
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7.06Stanford University1.649.8%1st Place
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7.99Fordham University1.547.8%1st Place
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9.6Brown University1.014.7%1st Place
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7.76Bowdoin College1.487.4%1st Place
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8.18George Washington University1.445.6%1st Place
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12.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.8%1st Place
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9.8Northeastern University1.074.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Vermont0.562.8%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island1.205.6%1st Place
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12.55Salve Regina University0.972.3%1st Place
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7.48Yale University1.597.6%1st Place
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9.59Boston University1.014.2%1st Place
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11.23Connecticut College0.383.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cam Spriggs | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Whidden | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Sidney Moyer | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Robert Finora | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 25.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| Max Sigel | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 23.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Liam Gronda | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.