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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.68+1.52vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+3.93vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+3.03vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.25+6.84vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.22+0.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.11+2.72vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-3.68vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.09+0.44vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.50-1.94vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.35+3.68vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.19+1.33vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.97+2.78vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.10-4.79vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.29-5.10vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.97-0.22vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-6.01vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.73-3.22vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-5.47vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.87-4.80vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz-1.25-7.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.3%1st Place
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5.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.1%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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10.84San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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5.67California Poly Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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9.72University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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4.32University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.2%1st Place
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9.44University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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8.06University of California at Berkeley0.500.0%1st Place
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14.68University of California at San Diego-1.350.0%1st Place
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14.33University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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16.78Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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10.21University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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10.9San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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16.78Arizona State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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11.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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15.78University of California at Davis-1.730.0%1st Place
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14.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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16.2University of California at Davis-1.870.0%1st Place
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14.45University of California at Santa Cruz-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Gathrid | 34.6% | 27.2% | 16.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kian Patrick | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 15.1% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augustus Doricko | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bittner | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 29.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Bastuba | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Riley Glascoe | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 29.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Treacy Kief | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Lee | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Mack | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.